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What?! Nonsense. We should read Black Cat Christmas Happy Hallothanksmas Shirt the models that most accurately model historical trends and have the best science. Here’s a good recap of CMIP6 so far and how it compares to CMIP5. If you follow that link you can see that the CMIP6 models average 20% higher temp increases when hind modeling than observed temp increase and the range and error values were larger in both directions. The older CMIP5 models only overestimated past warming by 10% but didn’t follow the curves well. More sensitivity can get more accuracy but in this case, it looks as though we need to refine the models a bit before they are actionable.
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The CMIP6 currently shows the best-case emissions scenario overshooting the Paris Agreement in either case so clearly this plan will fail even if everyone on Earth Black Cat Christmas Happy Hallothanksmas Shirt executed it perfectly; which basically no one is. We are already singular years away from 1.5 degrees of warming, it will happen almost assuredly at least once within the next decade so the plan has already failed. Certainly, it sounds good on paper but let’s recall that Obama and Biden oversaw an explosion in fracking while granting numerous offshore oil exploration permits, and pouring several billion into bogus ‘clean coal projects’, and, importantly, lifted the ban on crude oil exports from the USA in 2015. Not only that, but they also refused to halt the DAPL pipeline project despite the widespread protests.
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